Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.224287 1.493113 1.836071 2.318255 3.000740 3.970076 5.529959
2025-02-23 0.881516 1.182885 1.628573 2.382437 3.741953 6.403506 13.243149
2025-03-02 0.715886 1.023210 1.526424 2.504798 4.671390 10.523711 38.684809
2025-03-09 0.598501 0.892058 1.407452 2.516925 5.415677 16.038746 139.200496
2025-03-16 0.505454 0.774311 1.268850 2.412058 5.795919 21.991964 742.964995
2025-03-23 0.457880 0.723064 1.237179 2.529557 7.009427 39.038522 NaN
2025-03-30 0.413005 0.666892 1.178802 2.552180 7.985786 66.789715 NaN
2025-04-06 0.370866 0.608203 1.100162 2.483893 8.546465 105.773574 NaN
2025-04-13 0.337573 0.561369 1.037049 2.435111 9.204497 184.627285 NaN
2025-04-20 0.324197 0.551748 1.056288 2.656899 12.001929 990.824101 NaN
2025-04-27 0.307624 0.532871 1.048919 2.789655 14.771918 37989.892313 NaN
2025-05-04 0.286987 0.502569 1.006652 2.775152 16.408485 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.264546 0.466384 0.944328 2.663104 16.943008 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.251337 0.448876 0.928295 2.739234 20.358784 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.241671 0.437959 0.927881 2.888115 26.248286 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.229052 0.418868 0.901027 2.902850 30.406465 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.214001 0.392707 0.849726 2.774778 30.817481 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.207214 0.384975 0.850704 2.918279 40.780503 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.198275 0.371254 0.831499 2.945976 48.605446 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.187780 0.352902 0.795460 2.862438 51.420716 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.178684 0.337178 0.765437 2.802883 55.640465 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.176517 0.337974 0.787169 3.074452 92.634737 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.172282 0.333263 0.790539 3.237966 141.323365 NaN NaN